PANews reported on March 18 that according to the analysis of Derive, a decentralized on-chain options platform, the current calm in the Bitcoin (BTC) market may only be a temporary phenomenon, and significant price fluctuations may occur in the future. Nick Forster, founder of Derive, said that Bitcoin's key volatility indicators are close to the monthly low, and the current intra-week at-the-money volatility has dropped to 49%, compared with 91% at the beginning of the month. Nevertheless, volatility has a mean reversion characteristic and may rise to the 60%-70% level in February in the future.
In addition, potential volatility triggers include changes in the situation in Ukraine or adjustments to crypto regulatory policies under the Trump administration. The Fed's upcoming interest rate decision may also have an impact on the market. Although the market expects 2 to 3 interest rate cuts this year, BlackRock believes that there may be limited room for interest rate cuts, and continued inflationary pressure may limit the extent of the rate cut.
