Murphy
17年老韭菜｜专注链上数据+宏观情绪分析，分享独立交易框架与市场洞察。保持谨慎乐观。
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A God's-eye view of BTC: Behind the 66,000-69,000 price range, a closely contested battle for chips.
The market is currently in a state of equilibrium, with the forces of profitable positions (left side) and loss-making positions (right side) being equal, resulting in prices being resilient but lacking the momentum to break through.
Murphy
BTC Risk Model: A Single Article Explaining Long-Term/Short-Term Trading Considerations
Bitcoin's price is suppressed by the STH-RP risk model, currently encountering resistance at approximately $72,000 (the green line), and the rebound may continue to weaken. Based on technical analysis, the market is more likely to decline; short-term trading requires caution, while long-term investors can consider building positions in stages based on model signals.
Murphy
BTC Options Insights: Why is March 20th a key turning point for volatility?
A key change has occurred in the Bitcoin options market. Options expiring on March 27 have formed a significant Short Gamma structure at $75,000, which may trigger a Gamma magnetic effect, amplifying price volatility and becoming a key driver of short-term price movements.
Murphy
Why didn't BTC drop despite geopolitical conflicts? Binance's funding structure and CVD provide the answer.
This article analyzes the relationship between Binance BTC balance and price, combined with data on the discrepancy between net transfer volume and spot trading volume, to reveal that the recent outflow of Bitcoin may reflect real demand, supporting price stability amidst macroeconomic turmoil, and explores short-term fluctuations and long-term trends.
Murphy
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