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・交易时刻：原油、美元、美债收益率在战中齐升，比特币在宏观逆风中稳守7万美元上方・“刻舟求剑”式币价预测走红，玄学预言的实战逻辑与缺陷・战争、石油与加密货币的奇妙联结：Hyperliquid油价衍生品何以成为宏观定价新枢纽？
战争、石油与加密货币的奇妙联结：Hyperliquid油价衍生品何以成为宏观定价新枢纽？
随着中东地缘政治局势的急剧恶化，美以与伊朗之间的冲突正在将全球大宗商品市场推向一个新的波动极值。在这一宏观背景下，一个过去主要存在于加密货币原生叙事中的现象正在真实发生：去中心化交易所（DEX）正在接管传统大宗商品的尾部与突发风险定价权。
Max.S
Delphi Digital: On the Eve of the On-Chain Options Boom
The cryptocurrency options market is reshaping its landscape, with Bitcoin options open interest surpassing futures for the first time in 2025. Deribit and IBIT options are leading the growth, while on-chain options protocols such as DeriveXYZ and KyanExchange are attracting institutional investors with innovative mechanisms, meeting their hedging and structured product needs. Improved regulatory environment and the launch of 24/7 trading by CME indicate market maturity and opportunities.
Foresight News
Trading Moments: Crude oil, the US dollar, and US Treasury yields all rose amid the war, while Bitcoin held steady above $70,000 despite macroeconomic headwinds.
Except for the energy sector, most sectors of the US stock market were under pressure, with all three major stock indexes falling by more than 1.5%. Bitcoin attempted to break through the $74,000 mark amid panic.
交易时刻
The "marking the boat to find the sword" style of cryptocurrency price prediction has become popular, highlighting the practical logic and flaws of metaphysical prophecies.
Are the "marking the boat to find the sword" style price predictions that frequently go viral on social media actually helping the market identify the stage, or are they just packaging noise as prophecy?
Frank
Analysis: Conditions for a Bitcoin rebound are gradually forming.
PANews reported on March 13th that Matrixport stated in its weekly report that current crypto market sentiment is weak, with overall trading volume remaining low. Many traders have shifted their attention to other assets such as gold and crude oil. However, beneath the calm surface, some changes are taking place. Bitcoin has fallen for five consecutive months, which is historically rare, and similar price movements often precede subsequent rebounds. Meanwhile, the total market capitalization of altcoins has also fallen back to the range where previous rallies have often begun. Although our altcoin model has not yet officially turned bullish, the number of tokens that have regained their 30-day moving average and passed momentum screening has increased significantly. Liquidity conditions are also continuously improving as stablecoin funds flow back into the market. Overall, these signals indicate that the possibility of a crypto market rebound is gradually increasing.
PA一线
Multicoin co-founder: Is decentralization necessarily slower than centralization? PropAMM is breaking this prejudice.
“PropAMM is one of the most important innovations in the field of market microstructure in recent decades, and perhaps even decades.”
Odaily星球日报
对话Circle首席商务官：联手万事达卡加速加密支付普及，稳定币未来不只交易
Circle 与包括万事达卡在内的多家公司合作，在全球范围内推广稳定币的使用和接受度。
Felix
Eightco Holdings has raised $125 million in funding, led by Bitmine, with participation from Ark Invest and others.
PANews reported on March 13th, citing Cointelegraph, that crypto asset treasury company Eightco Holdings announced the completion of a $125 million funding round to support its investments in blockchain and artificial intelligence. The round was led by Bitcoin treasury company Bitmine with $75 million, with Ark Invest and Kraken's parent company Payward each contributing $25 million. Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee will join Eightco's board of directors, and Ark Invest's chief futurist Brett Winton will serve as a board advisor.
PA一线
What are the chances of HYPE increasing fivefold? The HIP-3 is the most powerful engine.
Amidst a gloomy crypto market sentiment, Arthur Hayes is bullish on HYPE and has given it a $150 price target. With 97% of its revenue allocated to token buybacks and burns, and its HIP-3 mechanism expanding the on-chain perpetual contract market, HYPE's growth potential is attracting significant attention.
区块律动BlockBeats
Vitalik proposed establishing a silent alarm system using secret voice commands to combat crimes targeting crypto holders.
PANews reported on March 13th that Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin published an article on the X platform proposing a tool to enhance personal security and protect civil liberties at a low cost: everyone should have a simple and "repudiable" way to call for help. For example, pre-setting a few secret words that, when heard by a watch, phone, or home device, automatically and silently dial 911 and transmit the location to the police in real time. This would be particularly effective for cryptocurrency holders worried about kidnapping or robbery. Vitalik stated that if the environment ensures at least a 20% probability that the police will arrive immediately in the event of a robbery, and the robbers cannot detect whether an alarm has been triggered, then such crimes would be too risky to be feasible. Because this function requires active action from the victim, the risk of it being abused by governments for mass surveillance is relatively low.
PA一线
Ripple spent $750 million to buy back shares, but XRP continues to fall: Why are the company's strategies and the token's value "going their separate ways"?
Ripple's $750 million buyback boosted the company's valuation to $50 billion, but XRP fell below support, creating a rare divergence. Market concerns that Ripple might be dumping XRP to raise funds expose a paradox in the crypto world: a failure in the transmission mechanism between company value and token price.
BiyaNews
The Federal Reserve will launch a 90-day consultation period for Basel III proposals, and Bitcoin faces a 1250% risk weight.
PANews reported on March 13th, citing Bitcoin.com, that Michelle Bowman, Vice Chair for Supervision at the Federal Reserve, stated that U.S. regulators will submit rule proposals for implementing the final phase of Basel III in the coming weeks, expected to be released during the week of March 17-21, followed by a 90-day public comment period. The proposals were coordinated by the Federal Reserve, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Under the Basel Committee's finalized global crypto framework in 2022, Bitcoin is classified as a Group 2b asset deemed difficult to hedge and inherently volatile by regulators, facing a risk weight of 1250%. This means that a bank holding $100 million in Bitcoin exposure would be considered a $1.25 billion risk-weighted asset, requiring approximately $100 million in capital for such exposure.
PA一线
Important news from last night and this morning (March 12-13)
The POAP platform will enter maintenance mode on March 16, 2026, and will no longer be actively developed. Meanwhile, Binance Wallet launched Katana Pre-TGE, Ethena plans to shorten the sUSDe unstaking cooldown period, and JPMorgan Chase is facing a class-action lawsuit for allegedly aiding and abetting a crypto Ponzi scheme.
PA一线
From OpenClaw to the $25 billion RWA market: How AI agents can quietly take over on-chain assets
The on-chain economy comprised of AI agents was quietly launched in a version update in March 2026.
RWA研究院
Binance will list Katana (KAT) and add a seed tag to it.
PANews reported on March 13th that Binance will list Katana (KAT) and open the following spot trading pairs on March 18th, 2026 at 21:00 (UTC+8) with the following spot trading pairs: KAT/USDT, KAT/USDC, and KAT/TRY. KAT deposits will open one hour later. Withdrawals are expected to open on March 19th, 2026 at 21:00 (UTC+8). An additional 150,000,000 KAT will be allocated for future marketing activities. Further details will be announced later. Please note that KAT will be listed and traded during the Binance Alpha event (time to be announced later); however, after spot trading begins, Binance Alpha will no longer display the asset, and trading volume after spot trading will not be counted towards Binance Alpha points.
PA一线
It's not easy for the South Korean stock market to remain calm.
The South Korean stock market (KOSPI) has recently experienced an epic rollercoaster ride, with the Middle East conflict triggering massive market turmoil and intense competition between foreign capital outflows and retail investors buying on dips. This in-depth analysis examines the underlying logic behind the South Korean stock market's rapid shift from an AI bull market to the impact of the energy crisis, revealing its high volatility and structural risks.
远川投资评论
The U.S. SEC advisory group supports advancing tokenized securities and outlines security safeguards.
PANews reported on March 13th, citing CoinDesk, that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's Investor Advisory Committee voted to approve recommendations supporting regulatory policies for tokenized securities, allowing stock trading to bypass the decades-old intermediary settlement model relied upon by Wall Street investment firms. The committee recommended limited exemptions for blockchain stock trading, contingent on mandatory disclosure, regular external oversight, and ensuring all investors receive the best possible terms in order execution. The SEC chairman stated that these crypto assets still legally qualify as securities and therefore require the same safeguards as the traditional system. The committee noted that the greatest risk of tokenized securities is that new reforms or exemptions could introduce new risks unknown to investors and incur costs higher than the tokenization gains.
PA一线
a16z: To the founders of crypto, companies don't buy the best technology.
How can blockchain founders sell to businesses? This article reveals how businesses don't buy the "best" technology, but rather choose the least disruptive upgrade path. Using real-world examples, it shares key strategies for packaging blockchain technology into an acceptable business solution, helping you close deals.
Foresight News
A whale lost nearly $50 million when exchanging USDT for AAVE because it ignored slippage warnings.
PANews reported on March 13th that, according to The Block, a whale attempted to exchange $50 million worth of USDT for AAVE through the Aave interface but failed to notice a slippage warning, ultimately receiving only about $36,000 worth of AAVE, resulting in a loss of nearly $50 million. The founder of Aave Labs stated that the user attempted to buy AAVE with $50 million worth of USDT through the Aave interface, but due to the unusually large order size, the trading interface issued an abnormal slippage warning and required the user to confirm via a checkbox. The user confirmed the warning on their mobile device and continued the transaction, accepting the high slippage and ultimately receiving only 324 AAVE. CoW Swap stated that the transaction was executed according to the parameters of the signed order, and the interface displayed clear price impact warnings; there was no indication of a protocol vulnerability or malicious behavior.
PA一线
The US CFTC has released its first guidance on the risk of predicting market manipulation and is seeking public comment on proposed rules.
PANews reported on March 13 that, according to Bloomberg, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued its first guidance on the risks of manipulation in prediction markets, requiring exchanges to consult with regulators before launching markets that may be susceptible to manipulation and insider trading. The CFTC stated that exchanges can continue to use their self-certification processes to introduce new markets, but must consider whether certain event contracts pose a higher risk of manipulation or price distortion and communicate with staff early in the design process. The agency also issued a preliminary notice of proposed rules, seeking public feedback on how existing prediction market rules could be modified. The CFTC chairman stated that this move aims to develop new rules based on a reasonable interpretation of the Commodity Exchange Act, while assuring the public that the CFTC will exercise exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets.
PA一线
Latest News
Binance will discontinue support for deposits and withdrawals of certain tokens on some networks.
Circle minted an additional 500 million USDC in the past 54 hours.
Analysis: Bitcoin selling pressure has decreased to one-sixth of the cycle average, and the market has entered an accumulation phase.
Foreign Ministry: The sixth round of China-US trade consultations will be held.
HTX DAO Staking will launch its public beta on March 16th: Staking $HTX will earn you approximately 5% in rewards and allow you to participate in governance.

Industry Key Indicators

Total Crypto Market Cap$2.51T
Bitcoin Market Cap$1.43T
Ethereum Market Cap$253.24B
ETH/BTC Ratio0.03
Ethereum Gas PriceNaN gwei
DeFi TVL$168.97B
Fear and Greed Index15 (Extreme Fear)
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet$664.63T

Bill Market Peak Indicator

IndicatorCurrent ValueReference ValueHits
Bitcoin Ahr999 Index0.4 ▲ ≥4
Days of ETF Net Outflows0≥10
ETF-to-BTC Ratio10.36%≤3.5%
Bitcoin Bubble Index-7.3 ▼ ≥80
USDT Flexible Savings3.13% ▼ ≥29%
Altcoin Season Index37 ▼ ≥75
Bitcoin Dominance58.86% ▲ ≥65%
Bitcoin 4-Year Moving Average1.2 ▲ ≥3.5
MicroStrategy's Avg Bitcoin Cost76K ▼ ≥155.7K
Bitcoin Terminal Price71.4K187.7K

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「」Upbit removes Solar (SXP) and Oasys (OAS) from its product line. 「」CONX unlocked approximately 1.32 million tokens, worth approximately $15.27 million. 「」Starknet (STRK) unlocked approximately 127 million tokens, worth about $4.8 million. 「」Sei (SEI) unlocked approximately 55.56 million tokens, worth about $3.6 million. 「」The State Council Information Office held a press conference on the performance of the national economy. 「」Nvidia GTC 2026

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