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Bagel 预测市场观察
Bagel是一款移动预测市场应用,我们将持续追踪全球预测市场的最新动态、深度解析热点事件,探索预测市场的无限可能。
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How much of the betting business has the prediction market actually taken away?
In an interview, Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev mentioned that sports betting companies are certainly aware of the seriousness of the situation and understand that it could completely disrupt their business. Prediction markets have become a new way for millions of Americans to bet on sports events and elections, leading to speculation: how much of the betting market has the prediction market actually taken away?
Bagel 预测市场观察
04/01/2026, 01:15 AM
The Growth Path of Polymarket and Kalshi
If we compare 25 years to the Zhenguan era of the prediction market, then 26 years will usher in an even grander Kaiyuan era. This article attempts to dissect the growth history of these two prediction markets and extract reusable growth methodologies for reference.
Bagel 预测市场观察
03/23/2026, 02:50 AM
Learn how to earn Polymarket LP rewards step by step
This article is specifically written for friends who want to try making money by market making for Polymarket. I will explain from scratch: what kind of markets are suitable for market making, how to place orders to qualify for rewards, and the most common pitfalls in actual operation.
Bagel 预测市场观察
03/16/2026, 09:41 AM
Turning Stones into Gold: How Did 43 Years of Tennis Data Become a Money-Making Machine for Predictive Markets?
I trained an AI using data from 95,491 sports matches, achieving an accuracy rate of 85%. This article reveals how AI+ELO ratings accurately predict tennis match outcomes.
Bagel 预测市场观察
03/12/2026, 10:44 AM
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