PANews reported on April 9 that JPMorgan Chase said that the probability of a recession digested by stocks closely related to the US economy has soared to nearly 80%. At the same time, although funding pressures may intensify, credit product investors remain optimistic. According to JPMorgan Chase's market-based recession indicator dashboard, the Russell 2000 index, which has been hit hard in the recent sell-off, currently reflects a 79% probability of a recession. Other asset classes are also issuing warnings: the S&P 500 index shows a 62% probability of a recession, base metals show a probability of 68%, and the corresponding probability for 5-year US Treasuries is 54%. In contrast, the probability of a recession digested by the investment-grade credit market is only 25%, compared with zero in November last year.
JPMorgan Chase model: A key stock index shows the probability of a U.S. recession is close to 80%
Share to:
Author: PA一线
This content is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Comments
Follow PANews official accounts, let's navigate bull and bear markets together
Recommended Reading
PPA一线5 hour ago
H100 Group receives 21 million Swedish kronor convertible bond commitment from Adam Back, funds to be used for Bitcoin strategyPPA一线10 hour ago
Spanish coffee chain Vanadi plans to invest more than $1.1 billion in Bitcoin to transform into a "Bitcoin-first" companyPPA一线11 hour ago
Insider: Pump.fun plans to raise $1 billion through token sales, with a valuation of $4 billion
PAData: Web3 in Data
Data analysis and visualization reporting of industry hot spots

AI Agent: The Journey to Web3 Intelligence
The AI Agen innovation wave is sweeping the world. How will it take root in Web3? Let’s embark on this intelligent journey together

Pioneer's View: Crypto Celebrity Interviews
Exclusive interviews with crypto celebrities, sharing unique observations and insights

Memecoin Supercycle: The hype around attention tokenization
From joke culture to the trillion-dollar race, Memecoin has become an integral part of the crypto market. In this Memecoin super cycle, how can we seize the opportunity?

Real-time tracking of Bybit attack
Bybit suffered a security incident, and funds worth $1.44 billion were withdrawn. A North Korean hacker group was accused of being the perpetrator.