PANews reported on January 1 that Cointelegraph reported that a survey by management consulting firm Gallup showed that two-thirds of Americans expect the stock market to rise in 2025, but about the same proportion expects this to be accompanied by intensified domestic political conflicts and international discord in the United States. 66% of respondents expect 2025 to be a year of rising stock markets, 30 percentage points higher than the forecast for 2023 in December 2022 during a period of high inflation and low economic confidence. Overall, this year's forecast is more positive than in 2022. 54% of respondents expect employment to increase or achieve full employment, and 52% predict reasonable price growth.
The latest poll also showed that only 23% of Americans expect "positive" political cooperation within the United States under the Trump administration, while only 32% predict a relatively peaceful international situation in 2025. However, these pessimistic figures are an improvement over the polls for political cooperation and international peace in 2023 (9% and 14%). This sentiment could have an impact on the cryptocurrency market. History shows that sustained gains in the stock market can sometimes coincide with gains in the price of Bitcoin.
