PANews reported on April 7 that Goldman Sachs adjusted its expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, believing that if a recession hits, the risk of the Fed easing policy further is higher. Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to begin a series of rate cuts in June - earlier than the previous forecast of July - as part of a precautionary easing cycle. In the base case assuming that the United States avoids a recession, the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points three times in a row, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 3.5%-3.75%. However, Goldman Sachs expects that if the economy does fall into a recession, the Fed will adopt a more aggressive policy response, cutting interest rates by about 200 basis points next year. Given the increased probability of a recession, the agency's current weighted forecast shows a total of 130 basis points in rate cuts in 2025, up from 105 basis points previously. As of the close of last Friday, this outlook was roughly in line with current market expectations.